NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Dec. 31, 2002--The New York Times Job
Market Confidence Index dropped 3.7 points to 98.4 in December from
102.1 in November. The Confidence Index measures the perceptions of
employers and job seekers in the greater New York metropolitan area.
December's Current Conditions measure of the Index, which looks at
respondents's perceptions of the current state of the job market,
dropped to 113.4 in December from 129.8 in November. The Expectations
measure of the Index, which considers respondents' expectations
concerning the future of the job market in six months, rose slightly
to 94.0 in December from 93.4. For these results, February served as
the base month, with values equal to 100.0.
"Employers seem to be more positive about the job market with a
decreasing number laying off last month, fewer expecting to lay off in
the future, and more than a third of hiring managers expecting to
increase their total workforce in 6 months," said Carl Haacke,
economist for the Job Market Confidence Index. "However, job seekers
are less confident about the job market, and plan to cut back on
future spending as a result."
Key findings for December include:
-
Despite the pessimism among job seekers, only 8 percent of
employers say that they expect to lay off in the next 6
months, the lowest level since July.
-
Only 13 percent of employers said they laid off in the past
month, the lowest level since June.
-
More than one-third of employers, 35 percent, say that they
expect to increase the total number of people employed in
their organization in the next 6 months.
-
The percentage of job seekers who say that there are currently
"very few" jobs available rose to 51 percent in December up
from 45 percent in November.
-
The average amount of time job seekers have been looking for a
job is 7.2 months, and 32 percent of job seekers have been
looking for a year or longer. Both are at the highest levels
since the index began in February of 2002.
-
Job seekers see jobs declining further, with 36 percent saying
in December that there will be fewer jobs in the next 6
months, up from 33 percent who said so in November. This
sentiment is hurting job seekers's opinion of how much they
will be able to spend in the next 6 months, with 35 percent
saying in December that they will spend less money in the next
6 months compared to 33 percent who said so in November.
-
People employed are also increasingly concerned about the
security of their current jobs, with 39 percent saying in
December that it is "very likely" or "fairly likely" that they
will be laid off in the next 6 months, up from 30 percent in
November.
For the December results, 482 hiring managers and 307 job seekers
were interviewed. Interviews are conducted via telephone with random
samples of job seekers and hiring managers in the New York
metropolitan area. The survey results for each month include responses
obtained over the previous two-month period
About Job Market
Job Market, the print and online recruitment services offering of
The New York Times, provides employers and job seekers with
comprehensive resources to streamline the recruitment process. Job
Market appears in The New York Times every Sunday and is updated
throughout the week at NYTimes.com, where job seekers can find job
listings, career-related Times articles, exhaustive company research,
a resume database and valuable career resources.
Through the newspaper's national audience, which includes 3.9 million weekday
readers and 4.8 million Sunday readers as well as the 1.1 million readers who
visit NYTimes.com every day, The New York Times Job Market reaches a marketplace
of high-quality professionals actively seeking new job opportunities or considering
career moves.
Each week, The New York Times Job Market issues research on
industry trends and workplace practices affecting employers and job
seekers in the metropolitan New York region. On a monthly basis, The
New York Times Job Market releases its Job Market Confidence Index.
The Index tracks current conditions for recruitment in the New York
metro area as well as future outlook for the coming six months. Copies
of Job Market research reports are available upon request or at
NYTimes.com/jobmarket. New York-based Beta Research Corporation, via
random telephone interviews, independently conducts The New York Times
Job Market research.
About The New York Times Company
The New York Times Company (NYSE: NYT), a leading media company
with 2001 revenues of $3.0 billion, publishes The New York Times, The
Boston Globe and 16 other newspapers; owns eight network-affiliated
television stations and two New York radio stations; and has more than
40 Web sites, including NYTimes.com and Boston.com. In 2002 the
Company was ranked No. 1 in the publishing industry in Fortune's list
of America's Most Admired Companies. Among all 530 companies on the
list, the Company ranked No. 1 in quality of products/services and No.
1 in social responsibility. The Company's core purpose is to enhance
society by creating, collecting and distributing high-quality news,
information and entertainment.
This press release can be downloaded from www.nytco.com and
www.nytco.com/community
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